The Housing Tribunal · Scoreboard
How often is our AI actually right?
Every forecast the Tribunal makes is listed here before the answer is known, and graded by a script when Realtor.com publishes the number. Nothing is removed, and no AI grades a forecast.
The Tribunal’s record
No forecast has come due yet. The first grades arrive when Realtor.com publishes December 2026, usually in the first days of the following month.
Every forecast
| Sitting | State | The call | Confidence | Outcome | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | California | active listings for December 2026 higher than 56,016 | 80% | pending | |
| November 2026 | Ohio | active listings for December 2026 higher than 19,811 | 88% | pending | |
| November 2026 | Texas | median list price for December 2026 lower than $350,000 | 65% | pending |
Beat the Tribunal: players
Anyone can call the same questions on the docket. Same data, same grading script.
The leaderboard fills in when the first forecasts are graded. Make your calls on the docket before the sitting closes.
The Rate Call: players
The weekly game: will next week’s 30-year mortgage rate be higher or lower? Play this week’s round.
No graded rounds yet. Rounds are graded every Friday.
There are no accounts, names or emails. Your browser holds a random player code, and your handle is generated from it, so there’s nothing to sign up for and nothing for us to moderate.
Your player code. Save it to keep your record on another device. Anyone who has it can make calls as you, so keep it private.
How grading works: a forecast or call says a number will be higher or lower than a stated baseline. When the publisher releases the number, a script compares the two. Equal means void for the AI and every player. The script and the data are public: see the code.